Pembahasan-Soal-Ujian-Profesi-Aktuaris

Pembahasan Ujian PAI: A50 – No. 14 – Juni 2016

Pembahasan Soal Ujian Profesi Aktuaris

Institusi : Persatuan Aktuaris Indonesia (PAI)
Mata Ujian : Metoda Statistika
Periode Ujian : Juni 2016
Nomor Soal : 14

SOAL

Diketahui

\(F\left( X \right) = 1 – {\left( {1 – \frac{x}{{120}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\)  untuk  \(0 \le x \le 120,\)

Hitunglah \(E\left[ T \right]\) untuk \(x = 30\), yaitu \(\mathop {{e_{30}}}\limits^ \circ \)

  1. 66,73
  2. 68,92
  3. 70,17
  4. 74,63
  5. 77,14
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Diketahui \(F\left( X \right) = 1 – {\left( {1 – \frac{x}{{120}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\)  untuk  \(0 \le x \le 120,\)
Rumus yang digunakan \(S\left( X \right) = 1 – F\left( X \right)\) \({}_t{p_x} = \frac{{S\left( {x + t} \right)}}{{S\left( x \right)}}\) \(\mathop {{e_x}}\limits^ \circ = \int\limits_0^\infty {{}_t{p_x}dt} \)
Proses Pengerjaan \(S\left( X \right) = 1 – F\left( X \right)\) \(= {\left( {1 – \frac{x}{{120}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\)
\({}_t{p_x} = \frac{{S\left( {x + t} \right)}}{{S\left( x \right)}}\) \(= \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{120 – x – t}}{{120}}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{6}}}}}{{{{\left( {\frac{{120 – x}}{{120}}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{6}}}}}\) \(= {\left( {\frac{{120 – x – t}}{{120 – x}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\)
\(\mathop {{e_{30}}}\limits^ \circ = \int\limits_0^{90} {{}_t{p_{30}}dt} \) \(= \int\limits_0^{90} {{{\left( {\frac{{90 – t}}{{90}}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{6}}}dt} \) \(= {\left( {\frac{1}{{90}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\int\limits_0^{90} {{{\left( {90 – t} \right)}^{\frac{1}{6}}}dt,} \)  misal  \(90 – t = {u^6}{\rm{ }}\)  maka \(– dt = 6{u^5} \cdot du\)

\(= {\left( {\frac{1}{{90}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\int\limits_{{{90}^{\frac{1}{6}}}}^0 { – 6{u^6}du} \) \(= {\left( {\frac{1}{{90}}} \right)^{\frac{1}{6}}}\left( {\frac{{6 \cdot {{\left( {{{90}^{\frac{1}{6}}}} \right)}^7}}}{7}} \right)\) \(= \frac{{6 \cdot {{90}^{\frac{6}{6}}}}}{7}\) \(= 77,142857\)
Jawaban e. 77,14
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