Pembahasan Soal Ujian Profesi Aktuaris
Institusi |
: |
Persatuan Aktuaris Indonesia (PAI) |
Mata Ujian |
: |
A60 – Matematika Aktuaria |
Periode Ujian |
: |
November 2017 |
Nomor Soal |
: |
13 |
SOAL
Misalkan N berdistribusi “negative binomial” dengan E[N] = 20dan Var[N] = 24. Hitunglah nilai dari parameter r
- 5/6
- 20
- 25
- 75
- 100
PEMBAHASAN
Rumus |
\(N\, \sim Negative\,Binomial\,(r\,;p)\)
\(E[N] = r\,\frac{q}{p}\, = 20\)
\(Var[N] = r\,\frac{q}{{{p^2}}}\, = 24\) |
Step 1 |
\(Var[N] = \left( {r\,\frac{q}{p}} \right)\,\frac{1}{p}\)
\(24 = \left( {E[N]} \right)\frac{1}{p}\)
\(24 = \left( {20} \right)\frac{1}{p}\)
\(p = \frac{5}{6}\) |
\(q = 1 – p\)
\(q = 1 – \frac{5}{6}\)
\(q = \frac{1}{6}\) |
Step 2 |
\(E[N] = r\,\frac{{\left( {\frac{1}{6}} \right)}}{{\left( {\frac{5}{6}} \right)}}\,\)
\(20 = r\,\frac{1}{5}\,\)
\(r = 100\) |
Jawaban |
e. 100 |